International Oil Prices Have Limited Impact On China’s Cpi
Sharp rise in international oil prices exacerbated by global inflation expectations. As numerous Chinese crude oil imports, inflationary pressures will increase with Accept the Securities Times reporter interviewed several experts said that from the long-term trend, international oil prices are inevitable, the impact on domestic inflation is positive, but because of transmission factors and China’s refined oil prices higher than the proportion of total CPI Small and other reasons, typically, have limited impact.
Shenzhen Comprehensive Development Research Institute of Macroeconomic Research of the Constitution, Liu, director of the view that international oil prices rise on domestic inflation is certainly there. From the long-term trend, the international oil price showed an upward trend certainly, and this remains a very powerful reason for the “China factor.” However, he also said that international oil prices, whether the factors that affected the domestic and eventually affect domestic inflation depends on the sustainability of oil prices. Liu constitution to initial estimates, a brand new round of international oil price increases may have occurred restorative, “if the present international oil prices is simply a short-term cyclical fluctuations of price, then will it impact on domestic inflation can be difficult to judge.”
In reality, except for international oil prices caused raw material prices, resulting in the pressure of imported inflation, the international oil prices on domestic inflation of more oil price increases through to performance. British Institute of Lida Xiao Tai Securities believes that the international oil price rises can be conducted by domestic oil price increase, resulting in additional cost factors equivalent to domestic agricultural machinery, and transportation cost to the industry to upgrade, which is directly affected; As well as, coal , the worth of steel and other raw materials may follow, “corresponding rise.” However, Li Daxiao also believes that international oil prices compared to domestic factors reminiscent of pork, grain and other price increases greater impact on inflation. “International oil prices affect domestic inflation, but, overall, little effect.” Lida Xiao said.
So, if the recent domestic oil price increases, inflation expectations continue to extend on the price level in China will have what impact Insiders said that while the February CPI prices rose 2.7% year on year, very close to 3% of the CPI annual control line, but even when oil prices rise, the direct impact on the CPI remains to be limited. And look at the trend from the late, in March the patron price level will remain stable, after the Spring Festival reason is that although the domestic capital goods prices rise, but a limited impact on the downstream consumer prices. In addition, China’s refined oil prices accounted for the proportion of CPI was only 0.1%, if the oil price increases limited margin, then the value adjustment had little impact on the CPI, won’t push up the CPI index.
However, a few of the international oil industry expressed concern in regards to the continued high fever. Some analysts say China’s rising demand for crude oil imports, oil prices will directly lead to higher costs of crude oil procurement, which can ultimately bear the domestic industry, thereby reducing industry profits and domestic investment, or re-trigger inflationary pressures. Rising oil prices make petroleum-related industries of energy or raw materials prices of products, prices factor in the formation of the brand new. Research Center of Chinese Academy of Sciences report predicted also that the international crude oil prices pink and purple short hair will increase inflationary pressure in China. Author Box gaga has 1 articles online
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